Many will lose their jobs in the coming years
The modern Russian labor market is alarming. And not only Russian. The number of people who may be left out in the coming years due to the development of technology is very large.
All local therapists will go to the garden together because the diagnosis will disappear when the therapist meets us in the hospital and says which specialist we need to go to. Each will have some kind of bracelet or tube where you need to breathe, and the computer will immediately diagnose us and send us to the right doctor. These technologies are already there. They have not yet been implemented everywhere, but they will be implemented. And this will lead to a massive reduction in medical personnel.
The same future awaits accountants. We have entered a new technological revolution, and the speed of change that the digital economy entails is rapidly increasing in almost all areas. There is a digitalization of processes. Already, many companies are switching to remote services, cloud services, and online cash registers. Accordingly, the number of vacancies in this area is rapidly declining.
Sberbank is a backbone bank in Russia. When 100% of his legal clients switch to electronic document management, all other banks will also automatically switch to electronic document management. This will happen in the next 3 years, with a maximum in 5 years. And then in each company, instead of 10 or 40 accountants, there will be two: simply to hedge each other for the duration of illness or vacation.
Fiscal accounting will also disappear. This will happen as soon as the blockchain is integrated into the tax system: then there will be no sense in the majority, if not in all fiscal documents in general. And that means in bookkeeping and accountants. Financial planning and management accounting will not go anywhere. But this is a completely different story.
Unmanned vehicles will win the competition with drivers
In the coming years, we will all shift to unmanned vehicles. Just because it is more profitable, cheaper and safer: no minuses, solid pluses! Theoretically, this can happen within five years. It all depends on how quickly the world's leading brands cease to mass produce cars, and the states are ready to accept this new reality.
After that, we will no longer buy cars. Most likely, just go to the subscription system. Manufacturers will not sell cars, but a subscription to the right to use the services with their participation. In this situation, the insurance system will completely change. There will be nothing to insure: everything will be insured already at the production stage or at the time of commencement of operation under the responsibility of the manufacturer.
This means that the insurance business will be covered. Tens of thousands of insurance agents will start looking for what to do. They will no longer go to taxi drivers or car dealership managers.
I think 2 or 3 companies will own all the cars in the country. Why do you need your car if a rented car with an autopilot arrives in 3 minutes?
Today we have about a million professional drivers in the country, 90 percent of whom will lose their jobs.
Car services are doomed
Auto service is a huge industry. Germany has declared a complete ban on the operation of an internal combustion engine since 2030. What does it mean?
Germany is the main one in the European Union, all other countries will follow it. And it will not be possible to enter the EU by car with an internal combustion engine. Leading automakers answered this: "We will do everything sooner." Volkswagen announced plans to curtail the production of cars with internal combustion engines by 2025. The rest are not far behind.
A car with an internal combustion engine consists of about one and a half thousand parts. In an electric car - two dozen components. They are not repaired, but simply thrown away: in terms of service there is nothing to do there. So, we close all the TO stations and garage car services with a big lock.
Teachers of foreign languages will become unclaimed
Now teaching foreign languages in ordinary schools is profanity with few exceptions. Unless this is a multilingual region like Switzerland, where you can communicate with native speakers of another language every day and you really need this language.
While we are stereotypically spending time hammering children a foreign language, which most of them will not have the slightest chance of using. At the same time, everyone’s smartphone, on the fly, translates 500 pairs of foreign languages much better than the average university teacher, not to mention school teachers.
To the question of who will translate Shakespeare, I answer: "The one who translated before." Because none of those who studied the language in an ordinary Nizhny Novgorod school like me will never rise to translate Shakespeare. And those who really want to translate foreign classics and have a penchant for languages do not learn the language in ordinary schools.
If a person has a genetically embedded penchant for languages, he does not need a general school curriculum even more so. There is no reason for an ordinary child to kill for this time simply because the future has already arrived. Everything is almost the same as in films, when some aliens arrive on Earth, and a key ring in your pocket immediately translates what they are talking about.
In these conditions, it is necessary to reduce the retirement age
Our state is 20 years late in its ideas about life, as a layman who with a delay learns about the discoveries of fundamental science. 10 years ago, many said: it is urgently necessary to raise the retirement age. No one listened. Now they started talking that in a few years we will begin to take the first steps in this direction.
Now I say: “Are you crazy? An urgent need to lower the retirement age! ” You have no other choice. Otherwise, a large number of people in Russia will find themselves in a situation that they will never enter the labor market during the entire life cycle. For them, simply there will be no jobs. And in this case we are talking not only about university graduates. No new jobs will be created in industry. Never. Most people who lose their jobs in the mining or manufacturing industry in the coming years will not have a chance to find work in the same industries. Instead of thousands of retiring jobs for low- or medium-skilled employees, now during modernization often only one job is created. And it requires a completely different qualification.
The modern education system is not able to prepare the specialists in demand
The school, as we know it, has been preparing humanoid robots for work on the assembly line for years. It doesn’t matter which conveyor it is: for stamping cans or with a slide rule. Today, the system that exists in mass education in all developed countries does not meet the needs of the modern economy.
Now Russia has adopted a program for the development of education until 2025. A couple of weeks ago, I spoke to a hundred employees of educational institutions: teachers, methodologists, managers. I asked if any of them had read this program. Out of a hundred people, only one confidently raised his hand. The rest simply did not read. And this document defines the development of our education in the coming years.
According to this program, the first goal of our education is that by 2025 Russia should occupy at least 30 places in such and such an international rating. The second goal is that we should be no lower than 24th in such and such an international rating. And the third and main goal is for us to be no lower than 17th in the rating like this. All.
Our education does not have any real goals, such as increasing life expectancy, improving wealth, reducing poverty or child mortality. Our education exists for the sake of education.
The system is designed so that educational interest in children is destroyed already in elementary school. It was during these years that the foundations of the personality and the circle of its interests were formed, including the skill to learn. We have the same minimum qualification requirements for kindergarten teachers and elementary school teachers: they don’t even have to have a higher education to work. And what is spoiled in kindergarten and elementary grades cannot be corrected later.
In our schools in the first grade today, half of the children do not speak Russian enough to start education in Russian. It is urgent to invest in this, and much more than in the World Cup.
The best career guidance is to know how much your life is worth.
For three years, Superjob employees have conducted career counseling activities in schools and universities. They organized more than 500 of them, and then realized that it was ineffective: flew into one ear - flew into the other. After that, we reworked all the methodologies and no longer tell the children "you must become engineers." Now we explain to them what life is, what the labor market is and how best to behave on it.
A person at the end of school must be able to learn and, leaving school, must know how much his life is worth. We come to school and ask high school students a simple question: "How much are you worth?" At first, most do not even understand what we are asking. Then we say: “Here is your homework. "Go with your parents and figure out how much of your family budget is spent on you." After this, the child begins to understand that it costs her family a lot of money, often much more than half the budget that goes to clothes, tutors, new iPhones or something else.
Then we ask the question: “If there is no dad and mom nearby, how much money will you need to not starve to death?” Children themselves do not ask themselves such questions. And intellectually, they should be built into the education system.
Going beyond the walls of the school, a person in the 8th grade, when choosing a college, must know how much he will need to earn for a piece of bread in order not to starve to death. On such simple questions and examples, we begin to open our eyes to the “kids” and explain how to make our choice of the right path. It resonates well.
Then we come to the university, and there everything repeats the same thing, only at a different level: how to find your employer, how to start work, how not to lose it. Only with such measures of modern man can one somehow prepare for the future that has already arrived.
The modern Russian labor market is alarming. And not only Russian. The number of people who may be left out in the coming years due to the development of technology is very large.
All local therapists will go to the garden together because the diagnosis will disappear when the therapist meets us in the hospital and says which specialist we need to go to. Each will have some kind of bracelet or tube where you need to breathe, and the computer will immediately diagnose us and send us to the right doctor. These technologies are already there. They have not yet been implemented everywhere, but they will be implemented. And this will lead to a massive reduction in medical personnel.
The same future awaits accountants. We have entered a new technological revolution, and the speed of change that the digital economy entails is rapidly increasing in almost all areas. There is a digitalization of processes. Already, many companies are switching to remote services, cloud services, and online cash registers. Accordingly, the number of vacancies in this area is rapidly declining.
Sberbank is a backbone bank in Russia. When 100% of his legal clients switch to electronic document management, all other banks will also automatically switch to electronic document management. This will happen in the next 3 years, with a maximum in 5 years. And then in each company, instead of 10 or 40 accountants, there will be two: simply to hedge each other for the duration of illness or vacation.
Fiscal accounting will also disappear. This will happen as soon as the blockchain is integrated into the tax system: then there will be no sense in the majority, if not in all fiscal documents in general. And that means in bookkeeping and accountants. Financial planning and management accounting will not go anywhere. But this is a completely different story.
Unmanned vehicles will win the competition with drivers
In the coming years, we will all shift to unmanned vehicles. Just because it is more profitable, cheaper and safer: no minuses, solid pluses! Theoretically, this can happen within five years. It all depends on how quickly the world's leading brands cease to mass produce cars, and the states are ready to accept this new reality.
After that, we will no longer buy cars. Most likely, just go to the subscription system. Manufacturers will not sell cars, but a subscription to the right to use the services with their participation. In this situation, the insurance system will completely change. There will be nothing to insure: everything will be insured already at the production stage or at the time of commencement of operation under the responsibility of the manufacturer.
This means that the insurance business will be covered. Tens of thousands of insurance agents will start looking for what to do. They will no longer go to taxi drivers or car dealership managers.
I think 2 or 3 companies will own all the cars in the country. Why do you need your car if a rented car with an autopilot arrives in 3 minutes?
Today we have about a million professional drivers in the country, 90 percent of whom will lose their jobs.
Car services are doomed
Auto service is a huge industry. Germany has declared a complete ban on the operation of an internal combustion engine since 2030. What does it mean?
Germany is the main one in the European Union, all other countries will follow it. And it will not be possible to enter the EU by car with an internal combustion engine. Leading automakers answered this: "We will do everything sooner." Volkswagen announced plans to curtail the production of cars with internal combustion engines by 2025. The rest are not far behind.
A car with an internal combustion engine consists of about one and a half thousand parts. In an electric car - two dozen components. They are not repaired, but simply thrown away: in terms of service there is nothing to do there. So, we close all the TO stations and garage car services with a big lock.
Teachers of foreign languages will become unclaimed
Now teaching foreign languages in ordinary schools is profanity with few exceptions. Unless this is a multilingual region like Switzerland, where you can communicate with native speakers of another language every day and you really need this language.
While we are stereotypically spending time hammering children a foreign language, which most of them will not have the slightest chance of using. At the same time, everyone’s smartphone, on the fly, translates 500 pairs of foreign languages much better than the average university teacher, not to mention school teachers.
To the question of who will translate Shakespeare, I answer: "The one who translated before." Because none of those who studied the language in an ordinary Nizhny Novgorod school like me will never rise to translate Shakespeare. And those who really want to translate foreign classics and have a penchant for languages do not learn the language in ordinary schools.
If a person has a genetically embedded penchant for languages, he does not need a general school curriculum even more so. There is no reason for an ordinary child to kill for this time simply because the future has already arrived. Everything is almost the same as in films, when some aliens arrive on Earth, and a key ring in your pocket immediately translates what they are talking about.
In these conditions, it is necessary to reduce the retirement age
Our state is 20 years late in its ideas about life, as a layman who with a delay learns about the discoveries of fundamental science. 10 years ago, many said: it is urgently necessary to raise the retirement age. No one listened. Now they started talking that in a few years we will begin to take the first steps in this direction.
Now I say: “Are you crazy? An urgent need to lower the retirement age! ” You have no other choice. Otherwise, a large number of people in Russia will find themselves in a situation that they will never enter the labor market during the entire life cycle. For them, simply there will be no jobs. And in this case we are talking not only about university graduates. No new jobs will be created in industry. Never. Most people who lose their jobs in the mining or manufacturing industry in the coming years will not have a chance to find work in the same industries. Instead of thousands of retiring jobs for low- or medium-skilled employees, now during modernization often only one job is created. And it requires a completely different qualification.
The modern education system is not able to prepare the specialists in demand
The school, as we know it, has been preparing humanoid robots for work on the assembly line for years. It doesn’t matter which conveyor it is: for stamping cans or with a slide rule. Today, the system that exists in mass education in all developed countries does not meet the needs of the modern economy.
Now Russia has adopted a program for the development of education until 2025. A couple of weeks ago, I spoke to a hundred employees of educational institutions: teachers, methodologists, managers. I asked if any of them had read this program. Out of a hundred people, only one confidently raised his hand. The rest simply did not read. And this document defines the development of our education in the coming years.
According to this program, the first goal of our education is that by 2025 Russia should occupy at least 30 places in such and such an international rating. The second goal is that we should be no lower than 24th in such and such an international rating. And the third and main goal is for us to be no lower than 17th in the rating like this. All.
Our education does not have any real goals, such as increasing life expectancy, improving wealth, reducing poverty or child mortality. Our education exists for the sake of education.
The system is designed so that educational interest in children is destroyed already in elementary school. It was during these years that the foundations of the personality and the circle of its interests were formed, including the skill to learn. We have the same minimum qualification requirements for kindergarten teachers and elementary school teachers: they don’t even have to have a higher education to work. And what is spoiled in kindergarten and elementary grades cannot be corrected later.
In our schools in the first grade today, half of the children do not speak Russian enough to start education in Russian. It is urgent to invest in this, and much more than in the World Cup.
The best career guidance is to know how much your life is worth.
For three years, Superjob employees have conducted career counseling activities in schools and universities. They organized more than 500 of them, and then realized that it was ineffective: flew into one ear - flew into the other. After that, we reworked all the methodologies and no longer tell the children "you must become engineers." Now we explain to them what life is, what the labor market is and how best to behave on it.
A person at the end of school must be able to learn and, leaving school, must know how much his life is worth. We come to school and ask high school students a simple question: "How much are you worth?" At first, most do not even understand what we are asking. Then we say: “Here is your homework. "Go with your parents and figure out how much of your family budget is spent on you." After this, the child begins to understand that it costs her family a lot of money, often much more than half the budget that goes to clothes, tutors, new iPhones or something else.
Then we ask the question: “If there is no dad and mom nearby, how much money will you need to not starve to death?” Children themselves do not ask themselves such questions. And intellectually, they should be built into the education system.
Going beyond the walls of the school, a person in the 8th grade, when choosing a college, must know how much he will need to earn for a piece of bread in order not to starve to death. On such simple questions and examples, we begin to open our eyes to the “kids” and explain how to make our choice of the right path. It resonates well.
Then we come to the university, and there everything repeats the same thing, only at a different level: how to find your employer, how to start work, how not to lose it. Only with such measures of modern man can one somehow prepare for the future that has already arrived.
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